August 2010
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Month August 2010

Salesforce.com (CRM) : Breakout and consolidation

Marc Benioff reported Salesforce.com results on August 19 with the following quotes:

Second quarter revenue of $394 million rose 25% year-over-year. Even with an annual revenue run rate approaching $1.6 billion, our revenue growth is accelerating. At 25%, second quarter revenue rose at its fastest rate in six quarters and it represents the third quarter in a row in which growth rate has now increased.

Non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 was well above our outlook entering the quarter. GAAP EPS was $0.11.

We also delivered roughly $76 million in operating cash flow, an increase of more than 66% from a year ago. Over the past 12 months, our business has generated more than $340 million of operating cash and we exited the quarter with roughly $1.9 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities.

Finally, I am pleased today to announce that we are raising the high end of our full year fiscal year ‘11 revenue guidance to $1.6 billion. This is a huge new milestone for Salesforce.com.

As we can see from the chart below, the market responded positively with a gap-up and high volume  trades.

Currently, we are seeing some consolidation which is a good sign as the general market is bearish. This suggests the positive outlook for Salesforce.com

We should be able to find a good entry during the consolidation. After which, it should break up to the high side.

3PAR (PAR) : Will Oracle join in the bidding game?

I am not vested in 3PAR.

But, here’s a little musings.

Will Oracle join in the bidding for 3PAR?

1. Founders of 3PAR, Jeff Price and Ashok Singhai, both hail from SUN (now Oracle)

2. Is Oracle’s storage technology stack covering the entire industry’s needs?

3. 3PAR, with their thin provisioning, will it provides an added advantage for Oracle over competitors like HPQ, DELL, and even make it more challenging against EMC and IBM?

Having said that, there’s also a few executives in 3PAR that comes from HPQ.

It is hard for an outsider like me to figure out what goes on in the discussions or agreement.

But, it will be interesting if Oracle decides to join the bidding game. I assume they have the money to do so.

And even if they fail to win the bid, it could possibly make a hole in HPQ or DELL.

Green Mountain Coffee, Inc (GMCR) : Bouncing off 29

Looks like Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) is bouncing off $29 level

Kumo support is expected to be around $28

How would you play it? Given that the overall market is more bearish now.

If there is no catalyst over the next few days, I am tempted to look for a SHORT VERTICAL CALL on GMCR.

Note:

On the Ichimoku chart, we can see that the Tenkan sen is starting to turn and is pointing down.

The Kijun sen (trendline) is flattening; suggesting that the bullish move is coming to an end.

At this moment, there is a chance of a bounce. We may see resistance at the gap level.