Category Property

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) : Is this a Head and Shoulder in the Making?

Continuing my monitoring of ARE.

As of yesterday’s close, there is still no sign that it will continue to be bullish since its last gap down.

It has just rebounded off a support at around 51.78 and it is still too early to tell if it will climb higher. If it fails to climb higher and break through 55.67, we have a lower high and perhaps the a Head  and Shoulder formation.

Note:

- Still too early to tell.

- Wait for confirmation

2009Oct-Alexandria Real Estate Inc-800x600

StamfordLand (H07) : Lacking strength to break through

Previously, I mentioned that StamfordLand is hitting resistance and is trading inside the Weekly Kumo; a sign of trendless state.

Just a couple of days back, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced rate hike and indirectly, it lead to a small surge for StamfordLand.

Though, it is clear from the chart that it lacks the strength to push through and break resistance. From the last candlestick price action, we can see that StamfordLand is not able to go beyond 0.43 and stay above it. This, to me is a clear indication that its business fundamentals have not improved yet (despite a possible gain from the strenthening Aussie dollar).

2009Oct-StamfordLd-800x600

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) : Watch the volume and the kumo resistance

It’s been quite some time since my last ARE trade; a trade that I cut-loss.

I am not sure what caught my eyes today. Subconsciously,  my mind was telling me to take a look at ARE again.

An interesting development on the Ichimoku charts.

On the Weekly Chart, I can see that ARE has hit the kumo’s wall; a very thick wall and a representation that resistance is strong moving forward. And with that it turns.

While it is normal for price to fluctuate and trade within range, what caught my eyes were the price action on the Daily Chart.

On the Daily Chart, we can see that there is some kind of sell off on September 24 which results in the price gapping down on opening. This year alone, there are 5  such sell offs (with volume more than 4.7M).

  • March 19
  • March 20
  • April 21
  • April 22
  • Sept 24

From a technical analysis point of view, we can deduce the following:

  • The current uptrend has been broken
  • We may see a period of price consolidation
  • It is still too early to say if the downtrend has started
  • Ichimoku Weekly Chart  suggest heavy resistance and price is entering the Weekly kumo (a period of trendless state)

2009Sep-Alexandria Real Estate Inc-800x600_Weekly2009Sep-Alexandria Real Estate Inc-800x600For now, I will continue monitoring the charts for the indicators to align. Not vested at this point.