Straits Times Index (STI) . Long term trend still bearish.

Like the broader market, STI has rallied since the beginning of the year.

However, unlike S&P500 (or /ES), STI has already turn and seems to hit resistance.

From the Ichimoku Daily Chart, we can see how it has dipped below the Tenkan sen. And the Tenkan sen is starting to turn downwards; suggesting that the bearish move is coming soon.

On the Weekly Chart, we can see how the top of STI is at where the kumo resistance is.

2918 is the support level on the Daily Chart. A break below this will confirm that the trend on the Daily Chart has ended.

Straits Times Index (STI) Trend heading into 2012

Since the gap down from July, STI has hardly recover.

Price range has ‘consolidated’ between range 2528 to 2900

Currently, from the Ichimoku chart, STI is trading below the kumo.

All signs point to a lower STI going into 2012.

1. Trading below kumo with resistance at 2714

2. Both Tenkan sen and Kijun sen pointing down

3. Leading kumo has twisted and the counter trend rally has failed.

Future trend suggest that it is heading downwards.

Singapore banks in bearish territories.

All 3 Singapore banks (UOB, DBS, OCBC) are in bearish territories in the Ichimoku charts.

If Singapore is a financial hub and the banking stocks is a reflection of the economy, then the charts are clearly showing the significant resistance ahead.

I expect tough times ahead in 2012.




UOB with support at $16.85 and resistance at $17.21




OCBC with support at $8.03 and resistance at $8.28




DBS with support at $11.77 and resistance at $12.21