Categories
Financials

Citigroup Inc ($C) : Watch for kumo breakout

Citigroup (C), has rallied from a low of $37 and has gap up in the last few days.

Currently, it is trading within the kumo and is in a trendless state.

A break above the kumo will give us a bullish confirmation.

We already has a weak bullish signal from its Tenkan sen – Kijun sen cross below the kumo.

Given the strength of its run over the one month, my bias is bullish and I think it will breakout of the kumo within the next 2 weeks.

 

Categories
Financials

US Banks Stress Tests

Zero Hedge has an article about a ‘leaked report’ on the stress tests of the US banks.

The usual disclaimer applies. ‘Leaked report’ is not official.

However, a glance through the article highlights worrying ‘facts’.

1) Of the top nineteen (19) banks in the nation, sixteen (16) are already technically insolvent.

2) Of the 16 banks that are already technically insolvent, not even one can withstand any disruption of cash flow at all or any further deterioration in non-paying loans.

3) If any two of the 16 insolvent banks go under, they will totally wipe out all remaining FDIC insurance funding.

4) Of the top 19 banks in the nation, the top five (5) largest banks are under capitalized so dangerously, there is serious doubt about their ability to continue as ongoing businesses.

5) Five large U.S. banks have credit exposure related to their derivatives trading that exceeds their capital, with four in particular – JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, HSBC Bank America and Citibank – taking especially large risks.

Let’s wait for the offical report. 

Official or not, I am not optimistic about the banks financial statements. After all, with the change in the way assets are marked, they can choose to mark some of their dubious assets UP all the way like the ‘beanstalk’ that goes to the sky.