Categories
REIT

Prologis ($PLD) : Potential Stock To Short

Got this from Invest2Success blog.

Key Points:

1. ProLogis secondary offering 30 million common share

2. Proceeds will be used to repay debt from a bridge facility. Do note the word ‘bridge’. To my knowledge, these are short term loans to allow Prologis to buy time to raise more funds. I maybe wrong since I trade mostly based on the chart.

3. Growth is expected to slow down in areas where its assets are located.

Note: The chart has not exhibit any confirmation. I will be watching for a LONG PUT position.

Categories
Tech

How I traded the IBM-SUN M&A news

I remember it was March 18 when I saw the headline in the afternoon that rumours are going around that IBM may acquired SUN.

By then, the pre-trading price has already shot up from $4 to $7+.

I have SUN (JAVA) on my watchlist for a long time. 2 reasons for that.

1. Cash
SUN has quite a fair amount of cash sitting around. So, unlike the financial institutes, it has a little bit more strength to weather the storm (and this is back in Dec 2008).

2. Southern Asset Management
These guys announced back in Dec 2008, that they have acquired 22 percent of SUN’s common stock. A substantial amount. There must be things that they know and I don’t know.

Nonetheless, just sitting around and not buying does not help much. And I miss the rally.

However, not all is lost.

For one, I know that such M&A news is never confirmed so early. Secondly, there is always a chance that the M&A does not go through.

So, instead of chasing after the stock on its first rally, I sold an APR 9/8 Vertical Spread. And took my profit the very same day. I choose a spread because it reduces my risk. There is never a sure thing when it comes to M&A talks (and in this case ‘rumours’).

The second chance to make money off SUN comes when it announced job cuts on the last day of Q1 (31 March). The market open and it very soon fall below 7.

This time round, instead of buying option, I decide to just buy the stock. Treating it as a lottery ticket. After all, I am comfortable enough to hold SUN stocks for the long term.

At this moment, the general market is in my favour and the counter has move to about $8 before market opens.

Just keeping my eyes open for any abnormal selling price-volume action.

I’m wondering, how will others trade this counter, if you have miss the first rally?

Your thoughts are appreciated.